The housing market is continuing to show signs of stabilisation, with the latest CoreLogic statistics actually showing home values beginning to rise across five Australian capital cities.
CoreLogic’s latest Hedonic Home Value Index has reported a 0.1 per cent increase in residential property prices in June across Australia’s combined capital cities.
The rise was driven by increases across five capital cities, with Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Darwin and Hobart recording price growth.
Darwin recorded the sharpest monthly increase, with values rising 0.4 per cent, followed by Hobart, where values increases 0.3 per cent, while Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane each recorded monthly spikes of 0.2 per cent.
Sydney and Melbourne have recorded increases for the second consecutive month, with home values rising 0.1 per cent and 0.2 per cent, respectively, in June.
The increases were partly offset by dwelling value declines in Perth (0.5 per cent), Adelaide (0.3 per cent) and Canberra (0.3 per cent), with combined regional values also slipping, down 0.2 per cent in June.
As a result, national home values remained stable; however, according to CoreLogic’s head of research, Tim Lawless, national home prices may have reached their bottom.
“Our national dwelling value index may have found a floor in July, with dwelling values holding firm over the month following a consistent trend towards smaller month-on-month declines through the first half of the year,” he said.
National dwelling values are now down 8.3 per cent from their peak.
Mr Lawless said that the July results are further evidence that recent market developments, including both monetary and regulatory stimulus, are helping spur a recovery in the housing market.
“The July home value index results provide further confirmation that the housing market has reacted positively to the recent stimulus of lower mortgage rates and improved credit availability; however, the response to date has been relatively mild,” he said.
However, Mr Lawless stressed that “there is no sign of a ‘V-shaped’ recovery”, pointing to the continued crackdown on living expenses for home loan applications.
“Housing credit polices remain much tougher than they were prior to the [banking] royal commission as lenders continue to move away from the Household Expenditure Measure (HEM) and examine borrower spending behaviours and expenses more closely,” he added.
“Also, lenders now have the benefit of comprehensive credit reporting whereby borrower debt profiles are more transparent, providing lenders with the ability to assess credit worthiness in more detail.”
“The ongoing tightness in housing credit is expected to keep a rapid rebound in housing values at bay, despite the lowest mortgage rates since the 1950s.”
Mr Lawless concluded by noting that policymakers would be watchful of a “more rapid acceleration in the recovery trend”.
“If values were to start appreciating rapidly, there could be a renewed round of policy responses aimed at keeping a lid on housing prices whilst, at the same time, allowing low interest rates to stimulate the economy more broadly,” Mr Lawless said.
However, other observers are yet to be convinced of a long-term recovery in the housing market, with Digital Finance Analytics principal Martin North telling My Business’s sister title Mortgage Business he believes some 300,000 Australian households are potentially at risk of being mortgage prisoners, even in spite of recent cuts to interest rates.
Adam Zuchetti is the editor of My Business, and has steered the publication’s editorial direction since early 2016.
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