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Predictions of best and worst growth industries in 2017-18

Melissa Coade
17 January 2018 1 minute readShare
Businessman, predictions, crystal ball

This financial year will see some unlikely star performing industries, while others are set to slump by as much as 43 per cent, according to predictions from a group of business analysts.

According IBISWorld, the electricity service price in Australia is projected to increase significantly in the 2017-18 period. Senior industry analyst William McGregor predicted that two of the biggest producers of wind power, South Australia and Victoria, are likely to enjoy the service price hike.

“We’re predicting massive growth of over 35 per cent for this industry, with renewable energy operators in Victoria and South Australia likely to take advantage of rising prices to boost their revenue,” said Mr McGregor.

He added that other factors, such as the closure of older coal-fired power stations, supply constraints and rising gas prices in the eastern states, have “wreaked havoc on electricity markets over the past two years”.

Behind wind and other electricity generation, the other top five growth industries will be sports and recreation facilities operation, dairy cattle farming, petroleum exploration, and nature reserves and conservation parks.

According to Mr McGregor, the 2018 Gold Coast Commonwealth Games will give the sports and recreation facilities industry a huge boost this year. A number of purpose-built sporting facilities and redevelopments have been constructed for the games, including a velodrome as well as a sports and leisure centre.

“We believe the availability of these stellar new facilities, together with ticket sales from these venues, will be major contributors to industry growth,” he said.

“An expected rise in sports spectating and growing spend on recreational and cultural activities will also contribute to growth.”

Sadly there can’t be winners without losers, and those coming in at the back of the pack are forecast to lose big time.

Leading the slump is the motor vehicle manufacturing industry, with revenue projected to decline by 43.1 per cent. It will be another blow to an already “devastated” industry, Mr McGregor said, signalling high comparative cost of Australian vehicle manufacturing and increasing exports as challenges to the industry.

However, Mr McGregor noted that while Australian truck manufacturers could expect a hit, it would be buoyed by the niche market the industry caters for.

“While truck manufacturers are affected by the same tough trading conditions as passenger car makers, there is an element of protection for those designing and building trucks specifically for Australian conditions, such as transporting heavy loads over long distances in high temperatures,” he said.

“With truck manufacturers now the key players in our domestic motor vehicle manufacturing sector, the industry’s future performance is set to rely more on business confidence than consumer sentiment in years to come.”

Other industries that are looking at revenue declines this financial year include intellectual property leasing, outdoor vegetable growing, sugar manufacturing and concreting services.

Predictions of best and worst growth industries in 2017-18
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Melissa Coade

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